I think these pictures show you the limits of our ability to predict (even when 1000s of people and CPUs are put to work).
TS Hanna:
Hanna Predicted Paths
Presidential Election Polls:
Real Clear Politics real time poll tracking
I’ve talked about it a lot on this blog. No bigger point to make here other than the idea that we’re not going to be able to predict a winner in the election or guess the landfall of these hurricanes much quicker than the event actually happening.
It’s interesting to try and predict though.
Question is, are we affecting the election through the predictions and publications?
Probably not as much a question for the hurricanes, though you never know if there’s some weird butterfly effect.
