So it’s not that will doesn’t exist; it’s that the free part is problematic — a lot of people see free will and say, “Well, you’re showing there’s no free will; therefore, people have no intentions or will.” No. There is will, and will can be shaped by a host of factors: your genetic background, [...]
Read Full Post »
We often blame businesses, leaders, ourselves for “not knowing better.”
The reality is, in modern American, there is a healthy amount of conditioned incompetence. Yes, as a society, we really don’t know better, don’t know different. For a very long time, if ever, we have not had to deal with some of the incredibly complex issues [...]
Read Full Post »
Posted in analysis of behavior, anthropology, tagged aliens, anthropology, behavior, boxing, easter, education, golf, politics on April 12, 2009 | 2 Comments »
When I sit down to make sense of the world I often start with this question:
If beings from another galaxy were to show up on our planet on an anthropological mission, what would they think about all of this? What would they conclude? How is it all connected? What patterns would they find?
All of This [...]
Read Full Post »
Posted in analysis of behavior, behavior, determinism, philosophy, quantum mechanics, science, social science, speculation, tagged behavior, cause and effect, dualism, strange loop, duality, strange on March 28, 2009 | Leave a Comment »
Please listen to this file. It’s called the Shepard Risset glissando. It’s very unnerving to me.
If I were to put sound to various cause and effect data trails from complex systems (like human behavior), I imagine it would sound a lot like that.
What is the cause/are the causes and effects of human behavior?
is stimulus a [...]
Read Full Post »
Posted in analysis of behavior, behavior, economics, finance, science, tagged behavior, contingency management, finance, madoff, ponzi, ponzi scheme on December 16, 2008 | 1 Comment »
The last 7 days of Internet blogging and searches have been dominated by Ponzi scheme debate and definition.
For reference, here’s Google Trends for Ponzi/Ponzi Scheme vs. Britney Spears. I use Britney Spears as a proxy for actual volume because she’s been a top search term for 8 or 9 years.
On Time.com blog, Curious Capitalist, we [...]
Read Full Post »
Posted in analysis of behavior, business strategy, data mining, economics, media, online advertising, politics, social networks, traffic, tagged behavior, collective intelligence, covert watching, data mining, disease control, government, Patriot Act, politics, privacy, shopping, smartphones, watching on December 4, 2008 | 3 Comments »
Data once was a signature, a number on a driver’s license or even a newspaper subscription. Now it is much more but less of what you are used to accounting for. Digital information is today recorded by all manner of sensors you are not aware of and don’t see the consequences of. The [...]
Read Full Post »
Posted in analysis of behavior, business strategy, economics, politics, social networks, tagged behavior, Chevy, Chrysler, GM, layoffs, money, moving on, schedules, social networks, toxic people, unemployment, value on November 20, 2008 | Leave a Comment »
UPDATE 1-US weekly jobless claims surge to 16-year high
Reuters - 11/20/08 – 1 hour ago
US weekly jobless claims shoot up to 542000 MarketWatch
Boeing layoff of 800 rattles Wichita aircraft economy
HP to possibly layoff 25,000 world wide coincident with merger with EDS
(Update) UTMB Begins Process Of Laying Off 3000 Employees dBTechno
Brady Corp. posts [...]
Read Full Post »
Posted in analysis of behavior, business strategy, economics, media, politics, traffic, tagged Ariely, Bargh, behavior, bias, black swan, causality, decisions, economics, experimental analysis, faulty perceptions, Greenspan, Kahneman, Shiller, Taleb, Thaler, The Crash, Tversky on October 31, 2008 | Leave a Comment »
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/28/opinion/28brooks.html?_r=1&scp=2&sq=&st=nyt&oref=slogin – free registration to read if not registered…
Go with the as postulated in this NYT.com article, there are four steps to every decision…
you perceive a situation
you think of possible courses of action
you calculate which course is in your best interest
you take the action
&^+%$!!)*?<#!
If only it were that simple.
Over the past few [...]
Read Full Post »
Posted in analysis of behavior, business strategy, economics, politics, tagged bailout, behavior, complexity, consequences, contingencies, crisis, Dan Ariely, economy, family, habits, loss, options, politics, reactive, vacuum of behavior on October 7, 2008 | Leave a Comment »
We know that behavior is not simple but there are simple behavioral components that keep getting ignored. Relative to what we all experience in life like conflicts in the Dan Ariely remarks below and in a previous blog on this site.… we recognize his statements on habits, good and bad, etc. Yet there is a second [...]
Read Full Post »
Posted in analysis of behavior, economics, politics, tagged behavior, Christmas, consequences, experience, explained, food, gas, guilt, natural calamity, next time, people, power, security, water on September 19, 2008 | 2 Comments »
I was telling my friend the complexities of hurricane IKE for us here in the outskirts of Houston. He too had the ‘experience’ and was caught not being able to adequately explain what it was like. I am tough enough to ‘enlighten’ in most cases so he wasn’t going to “help” me understand what [...]
Read Full Post »