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Posts Tagged ‘twitter’

Do we lose any important details as we compress experience through gadgets and social web?

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Yes, Paul Carr of TechCrunch is right in many ways… the real time web, and people powering it, can’t really handle the truth.   I’ve said in the past too.  The real time web is not going to last as a viable source of data and truth.  To make it reliable it’s going to be far less real time.  Getting to the facts takes time, resources and sometimes vast amounts of thought (by a computer or a human).

What’s troubling though is that there’s a ton more misinformation pain to go through before users and/or companies figure out what to do with all this mass real time web publishing.  This Ft. Hood twitter stuff is pretty bad.  The celebrity death rumors are horrible. how much worse does it have to get before our values catch up? or maybe it’s ok?  maybe deciphering real from fake information is best left up to the end user?  it’s better than less info?

 

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It wasn’t real news the other day, but it is now.  Balloon Boy – a series of hoaxes.  First the original hoax, now the authorities “misleading” the media to “keep the trust” of the Heenes.  So now how do you go on to nail someone for lying and then use lies to trap them in their lies?

As I said the other day there are some serious issues with TV news and the real time web.  It’s clear that few folks stepped away from the situation to really consider what was going on.   It’s pretty easy to blame the Heenes.  BUT…. Media (broadcasters and consumers) created the Heenes.   So… how will we all approach these situations in the future?   Instead of news and real time web being a stiff wind to fan the flames, how can it turn into machinery to get at the facts/truth faster? Is it even possible to be REAL TIME and get to the facts?  (I don’t think so)

If new media doesn’t figure this out, which only happens when consumers demand it, we’ll see oddities like this becoming far less odd and it will get harder to decipher what’s a serious situation and what isn’t.

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Methinks the best experience will end up combining real time search with regular web search.  Yes, it’s nice to have unfiltered immediate information in certain situations like breaking news or emergencies.  Outside of that synthesis is essential to keep the noise to signal ratio down.

I don’t so much mind the metaphor used on TechCrunch today of consciousness and memory.

Imagine having just memory or just real time consciousness – it somehow wouldn’t be very efficient for the processing of information into action.  TC brings this up.  Yesterday’s Michael Jackson and celebrity death coverage and the malware issues showcases that without some non-real time synthesis things get pretty messed up.

Thinking through this is not that hard.  Though you can’t use citation analysis to filter results like in PageRank, you can do similar things to get some confidence interval in the real time results.  However, the more accurate you make that the more processing time it will take and, thus, it will be less real time.   I think some hybrid of rapid filtering with a real time pressentation of streams with a big note that says UNFILTERED or UNVERIFIED should do just fine at the top of regular web results.

I’d use that kind of experience, for what it’s worth…

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In case you ever wanted to see some nice theory + simulation + visuals here’s a collection of nice Mathematica based explorations:

Animation for Epidemic Spread

Animation for Epidemic Spread

Jeff Bryant with Ed Pegg’s code on Influenza Epidemic modeling

Disease spread demonstration

SARs spread demonstration/animation

Oh, and I thought this was interesting… a nice PPT on pandemics.

I wonder if the swine flu spread through social networks with a similar dynamic? hmmm… Perhaps one should dig through this code for mining Twitter with Mathematica and start connecting the dots.  How could we do this?  We need to pull down a lot of tweets.  and we need some way to codify them by location or friends/groups.  What would we consider “spreading”.  Is it posting a link? replying to someone? hmmm.  Maybe this is a big fat waste of time….

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The market will not support all these photosharing sites in the long run.

Here’s why:

Twitter will be purchased or exclusively locked up in a strategic relationship by one of the companies that already has a photosharing set up/photo monetization platform.

Under that scenerio the acquiring company is unlikely to promote such a disaggregated approach to the aggreagtion of media in microblogging.  If there is money to be made with Twitter it involves pushing people into monetizable experiences, like monetizable media destinations and transactions/etailing. (The social networks have finally figured this out e.g. MySpace/Citysearch)

Sure, there will still be boutique image hosters and tiny URL providers, etc. etc.  But ultimately the world just doesn’t need 20 different places to dump your photos.   The ones that will still hang around will be the ones most tightly coupled with the apps that encourage the uploading.

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This is a pretty useful data dump from Google’s CEO

Economic situation pretty dire. Combination of what we’ve seen does not appear to have a bottom. People are using the Internet more. Obviously will affect online ad market because our systems are so tightly tuned. It will eventually be reflected in CPC, CPM. We are not immune to this. We may be better positioned from ad perspective, but ultimately the real pain felt by companies worldwide will sometime translate to our world

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